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140th Belmont Stakes

Class # Horse ML MyOdds
I 1 BIG BROWN                 2-5 3-1
  9 READY'S ECHO              30-1 9-2
         
II 7 TALE OF EKATI             20-1 6-1
  4 DENIS OF CORK             12-1 8-1
  6 DA' TARA                  30-1 8-1
  8 ANAK NAKAL                30-1 8-1
         
III 10 ICABAD CRANE              20-1 30-1
  3 MACHO AGAIN               20-1 40-1
  2 GUADALCANAL               50-1 100-1

 

This years Belmont Stakes should be very entertaining. For the good of thoroughbred racing I sincerely hope Big Brown wins and that we, after 30 years, once again, have a Triple Crown Winner...and some of you witness a truly rare and special historical event.......

Big Brown, judging from the profiles, does have a chance, and a good chance at that, BUT, not a 2-5 chance as the odds would have it. This race is much more competitive than it seems, even with the scratch of Casino Drive..... Ready's Echo has the best chance but Tale of Ekati, Dennis of Cork, Da' Tara and Anak Nakal cannot be excluded from pulling off the upset. Icabad Crane, Macho Again and Guadalcanal seem to be overmatched here......

Although I will be wishing Big Brown wins....I will not bet him to win for two reasons...First, at 2-5 it's just not sensible, and two, he will not win this race......

My Suggested Plays are:

1: $1.00 trifecta: (9) (7) with (1) (9) (7) (4) (6) (8) with ALL ($70.00) LOST

2: $1.00 superfecta: (9) (7) with (1) (9) (7) (4) (6) (8) with (1) (9) (7) (4) (6) (8) with ALL ($240.00) LOST

Horse W - Profiles L - Profiles Net Rank My Odds
BIG BROWN                 47 0 47 1 3-1
GUADALCANAL               1 46 -45 9 100-1
MACHO AGAIN               7 46 -39 8 40-1
DENIS OF CORK             23 27 -4 4 8-1
DA' TARA                  1 15 -14 5 8-1
TALE OF EKATI             6 7 -1 3 6-1
ANAK NAKAL                2 17 -15 6 8-1
READY'S ECHO              24 8 16 2 9-2
ICABAD CRANE              9 44 -35 7 30-1

140 BELMONT STAKES - Losing Profiles
Profiles Total 1 2 3 4 L % 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10
Profile 1 20 0 0 0 0 100%                 10
Profile 2 20 0 0 0 0 100%                 10
Profile 3 19 0 0 0 0 100%   2         8    
Profile 4 17 0 0 0 0 100%       4          
Profile 5 17 0 0 0 0 100%     3            
Profile 6 17 0 0 0 0 100%   2         8   10
Profile 7 17 0 0 0 0 100%   2 3       8    
Profile 8 17 0 0 0 0 100%   2 3       8    
Profile 9 16 0 0 0 0 100%   2              
Profile 10 16 0 0 0 0 100%   2             10
Profile 11 16 0 0 0 0 100%           7      
Profile 12 16 0 0 0 0 100%               9 10
Profile 13 15 0 0 0 0 100%             8   10
Profile 14 15 0 0 0 0 100%     3            
Profile 15 15 0 0 0 0 100%   2         8   10
Profile 16 14 0 0 0 0 100%     3            
Profile 17 14 0 0 0 0 100%   2              
Profile 18 12 0 0 0 0 100%   2         8    
Profile 19 11 0 0 0 0 100%     3   6        
Profile 20 15 0 0 0 1 93%           7     10
Profile 21 13 0 0 0 1 92%                 10
Profile 22 22 0 0 0 2 91%     3 4 6        
Profile 23 11 0 0 0 1 91%   2              
Profile 24 21 0 0 0 2 90%     3 4          
Profile 25 20 0 0 0 2 90%     3            
Profile 26 15 0 0 0 2 87%         6       10
Profile 27 22 0 0 0 3 86%     3 4 6        
Profile 28 14 0 0 0 2 86%   2             10
Profile 29 14 0 0 0 2 86%       4 6        
Profile 30 18 0 0 0 3 83%     3   6        
Profile 31 11 0 0 0 2 82%     3            
Profile 32 16 0 0 1 2 81%       4 6       10
Profile 33 21 0 0 3 1 81%   2 3            
Profile 34 15 0 0 0 3 80%       4         10
Profile 35 29 0 0 4 2 79%   2 3       8   10
Profile 36 24 0 0 4 1 79%   2              
Profile 37 24 0 0 2 3 79%     3       8    
Profile 38 19 0 0 0 4 79%     3            
Profile 39 17 0 0 0 4 76%     3           10
Profile 40 17 0 0 4 0 76%   2 3       8   10
Profile 41 25 0 0 5 1 76%   2             10
Profile 42 37 0 1 3 5 76%   2 3 4 6       10
Profile 43 28 0 0 5 2 75%   2             10
Profile 44 35 0 0 5 4 74%   2 3 4 6       10
Profile 45 31 0 3 3 2 74%   2 3   6       10
Profile 46 34 0 0 5 4 74%   2 3 4 6        
Profile 47 30 0 0 3 5 73%   2 3 4         10
Profile 48 26 0 0 5 2 73%   2 3   6        
Profile 49 11 0 0 0 3 73%         6        
Profile 50 18 0 0 5 0 72%   2 3           10
Profile 51 25 0 0 5 2 72%   2             10
Profile 52 32 0 3 3 3 72%   2 3     7 8    
Profile 53 38 0 3 6 2 71%   2 3     7 8   10
Profile 54 31 0 0 5 4 71%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 55 37 0 2 6 3 70%   2 3     7 8   10
Profile 56 36 0 1 5 5 69%   2 3 4 6       10
Profile 57 26 0 0 4 4 69%   2 3     7 8    
Profile 58 35 0 2 4 5 69%   2 3 4         10
Profile 59 35 0 2 4 5 69%   2 3 4         10
Profile 60 38 0 2 4 6 68%   2 3 4         10
Profile 61 38 0 2 5 5 68%   2 3 4         10
Profile 62 22 0 0 5 2 68%   2 3            
Profile 63 34 0 3 5 3 68%   2 3 4   7 8   10
Profile 64 33 0 2 5 4 67%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 65 21 0 0 5 2 67%     3   6        
Profile 66 29 0 0 5 5 66%   2 3 4         10
Profile 67 37 0 3 5 5 65%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 68 34 0 3 5 4 65%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 69 34 0 3 5 4 65%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 70 33 0 3 5 4 64%     3 4       9 10
Profile 71 33 0 4 4 4 64%   2         8   10
Profile 72 35 0 3 5 5 63%   2 3 4         10
Profile 73 37 0 3 5 6 62%   2 3 4       9 10
Profile 74 31 0 4 4 4 61%   2             10
Profile 75 20 0 0 3 5 60%       4     8   10

 

140th Belmont Stakes Results

Belmont Stakes (G1)
Off: 6:31 | 1 1/2 Miles | 3 Year Olds | Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000
Finish # Horse Jockey Win Place Show
1 6 Da' Tara Garcia Alan 79.00 28.00 14.80
2 4 Denis of Cork Albarado R J   5.40 4.10
3-DH 8 Anak Nakal Leparoux J R     7.60
3-DH 9 Ready's Echo Velazquez J R     6.20
5 3 Macho Again G. Gomez      
6 7 Tale of Ekati E. Coa      
7 2 Guadalcanal J. Castellano      
8 10 Icabad Crane J. Rose      
9 1 Big Brown K. Desormeaux      
Times in 5ths:  :234  :481  1:124  1:374  2:293
Times in 100ths:  :23.82  :48.30  1:12.90  1:37.96  2:29.65
$2   Exacta  (6-4)  Paid $659.00
$2   Trifecta  (6-4-8)  Paid $3,703.00
$2   Trifecta  (6-4-9)  Paid $3,954.00
$2   Superfecta  (6-4-8-9)  Paid $48,637.00
$2   Superfecta  (6-4-9-8)  Paid $47,309.00

I'm still trying to figure out why I didn't box my top 6 picks in the trifecta and superfecta....... It's something I always do.... Can someone tell me why I didn't do it this time.?? (Lost only @ $27,000 because I didn't)..............

140 BELMONT STAKES - Winning Profiles
Profiles Total 1 2 3 4 W % 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10
Profile 1 4 4 0 0 0 100%               9  
Profile 2 2 2 0 0 0 100%     3            
Profile 3 6 5 1 0 0 83% 1           8    
Profile 4 5 4 1 0 0 80% 1                
Profile 5 4 3 0 1 0 75%           7      
Profile 6 7 5 1 0 0 71% 1                
Profile 7 7 5 1 1 0 71% 1                
Profile 8 6 4 0 0 0 67%                 10
Profile 9 6 4 0 1 0 67%     3            
Profile 10 8 5 3 0 0 63% 1             9  
Profile 11 8 5 1 1 0 63%       4          
Profile 12 8 5 1 1 0 63%       4          
Profile 13 10 6 1 0 1 60% 1                
Profile 14 7 4 3 0 0 57%               9  
Profile 15 12 6 1 1 0 50%       4 6        
Profile 16 10 5 2 2 1 50% 1                
Profile 17 8 4 2 2 0 50% 1                
Profile 18 4 2 2 0 0 50%           7      
Profile 19 15 7 1 1 2 47%       4          
Profile 20 11 5 5 0 0 45% 1             9  
Profile 21 11 5 4 2 0 45%                  
Profile 22 11 5 3 3 0 45% 1     4       9  
Profile 23 9 4 2 3 0 44%               9  
Profile 24 9 4 3 2 0 44%               9  
Profile 25 9 4 3 2 0 44%                 10
Profile 26 12 5 3 4 0 42%       4       9  
Profile 27 15 6 3 3 1 40%     3 4   7     10
Profile 28 10 4 3 3 0 40% 1             9  
Profile 29 10 4 4 2 0 40%       4          
Profile 30 10 4 3 2 1 40% 1     4       9  
Profile 31 10 4 3 2 1 40% 1     4       9  
Profile 32 10 4 2 3 1 40% 1                
Profile 33 10 4 5 0 0 40% 1         7      
Profile 34 10 4 4 2 0 40% 1                
Profile 35 10 4 3 3 0 40% 1                
Profile 36 10 4 3 3 0 40% 1     4          
Profile 37 8 3 5 0 0 38%               9  
Profile 38 8 3 2 3 0 38% 1                
Profile 39 8 3 2 3 0 38% 1     4       9  
Profile 40 8 3 3 2 0 38%                  
Profile 41 8 3 3 2 0 38% 1             9  
Profile 42 8 3 3 2 0 38% 1     4          
Profile 43 8 3 4 1 0 38% 1             9  
Profile 44 8 3 3 2 0 38% 1     4          
Profile 45 11 4 3 1 3 36% 1                
Profile 46 11 4 1 2 3 36%       4          
Profile 47 11 4 2 1 3 36%     3     7 8 9 10
Profile 48 11 4 6 1 0 36%       4          
Profile 49 11 4 3 4 0 36% 1     4       9  
Profile 50 15 5 6 2 1 33% 1             9  
Profile 51 12 4 4 4 0 33% 1   3 4       9  
Profile 52 9 3 4 2 0 33% 1                
Profile 53 9 3 6 0 0 33%               9  
Profile 54 9 3 4 2 0 33% 1                
Profile 55 9 3 4 2 0 33% 1                
Profile 56 9 3 4 2 0 33% 1             9  
Profile 57 13 4 4 0 4 31% 1   3 4   7     10
Profile 58 10 3 3 2 2 30%     3           10
Profile 59 10 3 4 3 0 30% 1                
Profile 60 14 4 5 3 2 29% 1                
Profile 61 14 4 5 3 2 29% 1                
Profile 62 11 3 4 4 0 27%               9  
Profile 63 11 3 5 3 0 27% 1     4          
Profile 64 11 3 3 4 0 27%                 10
Profile 65 11 3 5 3 0 27%       4       9  
Profile 66 11 3 4 4 0 27% 1                
Profile 67 15 4 5 4 2 27% 1                
Profile 68 15 4 5 4 2 27% 1                
Profile 69 15 4 5 3 3 27% 1                
Profile 70 15 4 7 3 0 27% 1                
Profile 71 16 4 5 5 2 25% 1                
Profile 72 16 4 5 4 3 25% 1                
Profile 73 17 4 5 4 4 24% 1                
Profile 74 18 4 5 5 3 22% 1                
Profile 75 9 2 4 3 0 22%   2   4         10
Profile 76 14 3 5 3 3 21% 1             9  
Profile 77 11 2 2 2 4 18%                 10
Profile 78 13 2 3 3 3 15%       4          

 

 

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