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“An Analysis of NFL Venues”
rp-excel.com 

In an attempt to beat the odds I wanted to see if there were certain venues in the NFL that are more prone to higher scores, or that offer a significant home advantage. There are some surprising results....I further narrowed down the analysis from the last 24 years, to the last 10 years, last 5 years, and finally, last 2 years......

Once again, I don't know the reasons, but certain venues ARE prone to higher scores (perhaps weather related, being a dome, being grass as opposed to turf, etc.) and certain venues do offer a significant home advantage.....
If you have any comments or suggestions,
please contact me at:

rp.excel@gmail.com

Legend: PF-AwTm - PointsFor-AwayTeam; Pf-HmTm - PointsFor-HomeTeam; Avg-Average; HmAdv - HomeAdvantage....

Table 1: 1983 - Present (Last 24 Years)

Venue - @
Games
PF-AwTm
PFAwTmAvg
PF-HmTm
PFHmTmAvg
TotPts
AvgPts
HmAdv
SanFrancisco
219
3891
17.8
5620
25.7
9511
43.4
7.9
Denver
212
3902
18.4
5410
25.5
9312
43.9
7.1
KansasCity
202
3512
17.4
4872
24.1
8384
41.5
6.7
Jacksonville
103
1753
17.0
2331
22.6
4084
39.7
5.6
Pittsburgh
211
3625
17.2
4774
22.6
8399
39.8
5.4
Baltimore
103
1764
17.1
2278
22.1
4042
39.2
5.0
Miami
208
3827
18.4
4848
23.3
8675
41.7
4.9
GreenBay
208
3851
18.5
4848
23.3
8699
41.8
4.8
Minnesota
203
3916
19.3
4870
24.0
8786
43.3
4.7
Dallas
206
3892
18.9
4708
22.9
8600
41.7
4.0
Washington
203
3854
19.0
4643
22.9
8497
41.9
3.9
Buffalo
209
3824
18.3
4630
22.2
8454
40.4
3.9
Chicago
210
3586
17.1
4374
20.8
7960
37.9
3.8
Seattle
203
3893
19.2
4638
22.8
8531
42.0
3.7
NewEngland
207
3750
18.1
4473
21.6
8223
39.7
3.5
St.Louis
144
3152
21.9
3628
25.2
6780
47.1
3.3
NYGiants
209
3762
18.0
4412
21.1
8174
39.1
3.1
Oakland
208
3977
19.1
4600
22.1
8577
41.2
3.0
Philadelphia
209
3772
18.0
4321
20.7
8093
38.7
2.6
Tennessee
73
1509
20.7
1698
23.3
3207
43.9
2.6
Indianapolis
195
3987
20.4
4339
22.3
8326
42.7
1.8
Houston
175
3550
20.3
3798
21.7
7348
42.0
1.4
Carolina
102
1962
19.2
2083
20.4
4045
39.7
1.2
NYJets
201
3970
19.8
4155
20.7
8125
40.4
0.9
SanDiego
202
4226
20.9
4411
21.8
8637
42.8
0.9
Detroit
197
4107
20.8
4275
21.7
8382
42.5
0.9
LosAngeles
97
1990
20.5
2071
21.4
4061
41.9
0.8
NewOrleans
200
4095
20.5
4123
20.6
8218
41.1
0.1
TampaBay
201
3895
19.4
3903
19.4
7798
38.8
0.0
Cleveland
179
3420
19.1
3395
19.0
6815
38.1
-0.1
Cincinnati
199
4588
23.1
4530
22.8
9118
45.8
-0.3
Atlanta
198
4394
22.2
4224
21.3
8618
43.5
-0.9
Arizona
156
3261
20.9
2882
18.5
6143
39.4
-2.4
Average
184
3537
19.2
4103
22.2
7640
41.5
3.0

Table 2: 1997 - Present (Last 10 Years)

Venue - @
Games
PF-AwTm
PFAwTmAvg
PF-HmTm
PFHmTmAvg
TotPts
AvgPts
HmAdv
Denver
91
1659
18.2
2385
26.2
4044
44.4
8.0
KansasCity
87
1631
18.7
2289
26.3
3920
45.1
7.6
NewEngland
93
1555
16.7
2199
23.6
3754
40.4
6.9
Indianapolis
90
1816
20.2
2426
27.0
4242
47.1
6.8
Jacksonville
87
1389
16.0
1974
22.7
3363
38.7
6.7
Baltimore
87
1432
16.5
1972
22.7
3404
39.1
6.2
Minnesota
88
1720
19.5
2253
25.6
3973
45.1
6.1
St.Louis
89
1887
21.2
2406
27.0
4293
48.2
5.8
GreenBay
90
1702
18.9
2198
24.4
3900
43.3
5.5
Pittsburgh
93
1685
18.1
2194
23.6
3879
41.7
5.5
TampaBay
90
1437
16.0
1902
21.1
3339
37.1
5.2
Seattle
90
1786
19.8
2167
24.1
3953
43.9
4.2
Miami
88
1469
16.7
1788
20.3
3257
37.0
3.6
NYJets
87
1595
18.3
1867
21.5
3462
39.8
3.1
Philadelphia
94
1738
18.5
2031
21.6
3769
40.1
3.1
SanFrancisco
88
1790
20.3
2032
23.1
3822
43.4
2.8
Dallas
85
1596
18.8
1828
21.5
3424
40.3
2.7
Tennessee
73
1509
20.7
1698
23.3
3207
43.9
2.6
Oakland
90
1847
20.5
2033
22.6
3880
43.1
2.1
Buffalo
85
1595
18.8
1760
20.7
3355
39.5
1.9
Washington
86
1740
20.2
1808
21.0
3548
41.3
0.8
NYGiants
90
1794
19.9
1862
20.7
3656
40.6
0.8
SanDiego
87
1901
21.9
1963
22.6
3864
44.4
0.7
Chicago
89
1693
19.0
1744
19.6
3437
38.6
0.6
Atlanta
87
1922
22.1
1948
22.4
3870
44.5
0.3
Detroit
84
1749
20.8
1754
20.9
3503
41.7
0.1
Carolina
85
1731
20.4
1705
20.1
3436
40.4
-0.3
NewOrleans
87
1902
21.9
1770
20.3
3672
42.2
-1.5
Houston
60
1302
21.7
1159
19.3
2461
41.0
-2.4
Arizona
84
1797
21.4
1550
18.5
3347
39.8
-2.9
Cincinnati
85
2103
24.7
1772
20.8
3875
45.6
-3.9
Cleveland
69
1456
21.1
1156
16.8
2612
37.9
-4.3
Average
86
1685
19.6
1925
22.2
3610
41.9
2.6

Table 3: 2002 - Present (Last 5 Years)

Venue - @
Games
PF-AwTm
PFAwTmAvg
PF-HmTm
PFHmTmAvg
TotPts
AvgPts
HmAdv
Indianapolis
49
914
18.7
1418
28.9
2332
47.6
10.3
KansasCity
46
916
19.9
1331
28.9
2247
48.8
9.0
NewEngland
50
783
15.7
1232
24.6
2015
40.3
9.0
Seattle
49
896
18.3
1237
25.2
2133
43.5
7.0
Baltimore
46
731
15.9
1048
22.8
1779
38.7
6.9
Pittsburgh
49
933
19.0
1264
25.8
2197
44.8
6.8
SanDiego
47
1002
21.3
1238
26.3
2240
47.7
5.0
Philadelphia
52
951
18.3
1206
23.2
2157
41.5
4.9
Denver
47
899
19.1
1116
23.7
2015
42.9
4.6
Jacksonville
44
718
16.3
918
20.9
1636
37.2
4.5
TampaBay
48
797
16.6
989
20.6
1786
37.2
4.0
Minnesota
44
893
20.3
1058
24.0
1951
44.3
3.8
GreenBay
48
944
19.7
1107
23.1
2051
42.7
3.4
St.Louis
45
1013
22.5
1146
25.5
2159
48.0
3.0
NYJets
46
840
18.3
960
20.9
1800
39.1
2.6
Buffalo
45
839
18.6
954
21.2
1793
39.8
2.6
Chicago
48
882
18.4
994
20.7
1876
39.1
2.3
Dallas
44
888
20.2
953
21.7
1841
41.8
1.5
Atlanta
45
956
21.2
1022
22.7
1978
44.0
1.5
Miami
45
843
18.7
900
20.0
1743
38.7
1.3
Tennessee
46
1013
22.0
1047
22.8
2060
44.8
0.7
Washington
45
912
20.3
921
20.5
1833
40.7
0.2
NYGiants
46
924
20.1
921
20.0
1845
40.1
-0.1
Carolina
45
874
19.4
871
19.4
1745
38.8
-0.1
NewOrleans
46
1031
22.4
995
21.6
2026
44.0
-0.8
SanFrancisco
45
1011
22.5
964
21.4
1975
43.9
-1.0
Arizona
44
886
20.1
826
18.8
1712
38.9
-1.4
Oakland
47
1016
21.6
949
20.2
1965
41.8
-1.4
Detroit
44
958
21.8
891
20.3
1849
42.0
-1.5
Cleveland
45
939
20.9
835
18.6
1774
39.4
-2.3
Cincinnati
45
1120
24.9
1015
22.6
2135
47.4
-2.3
Houston
44
1013
23.0
835
19.0
1848
42.0
-4.0
Average
46
917
19.9
1036
22.4
1953
42.2
2.5

Table 4: 2005 - Present (Last 2+ years)

Venue - @
Games
PF-AwTm
PFAwTmAvg
PF-HmTm
PFHmTmAvg
TotPts
AvgPts
HmAdv
Indianapolis
23
382
16.6
642
27.9
1024
44.5
11.3
Seattle
24
369
15.4
611
25.5
980
40.8
10.1
SanDiego
22
395
18.0
615
28.0
1010
45.9
10.0
NewEngland
22
358
16.3
575
26.1
933
42.4
9.9
Pittsburgh
22
380
17.3
591
26.9
971
44.1
9.6
Jacksonville
20
273
13.7
454
22.7
727
36.4
9.1
Baltimore
21
276
13.1
424
20.2
700
33.3
7.0
Chicago
24
382
15.9
549
22.9
931
38.8
7.0
KansasCity
21
399
19.0
504
24.0
903
43.0
5.0
Dallas
20
413
20.7
506
25.3
919
46.0
4.7
Washington
21
394
18.8
485
23.1
879
41.9
4.3
Denver
23
431
18.7
497
21.6
928
40.3
2.9
NYGiants
22
434
19.7
495
22.5
929
42.2
2.8
Philadelphia
21
443
21.1
481
22.9
924
44.0
1.8
Minnesota
20
389
19.5
422
21.1
811
40.6
1.7
Buffalo
21
386
18.4
404
19.2
790
37.6
0.9
Detroit
20
410
20.5
422
21.1
832
41.6
0.6
GreenBay
21
404
19.2
407
19.4
811
38.6
0.1
TampaBay
22
401
18.2
403
18.3
804
36.5
0.1
Cincinnati
21
517
24.6
513
24.4
1030
49.0
-0.2
Arizona
20
425
21.3
409
20.5
834
41.7
-0.8
Atlanta
20
453
22.7
432
21.6
885
44.3
-1.1
NYJets
21
433
20.6
408
19.4
841
40.0
-1.2
Carolina
20
399
20.0
365
18.3
764
38.2
-1.7
NewOrleans
22
478
21.7
431
19.6
909
41.3
-2.1
Tennessee
21
488
23.2
442
21.0
930
44.3
-2.2
Miami
21
431
20.5
385
18.3
816
38.9
-2.2
Cleveland
21
462
22.0
391
18.6
853
40.6
-3.4
St.Louis
20
539
27.0
465
23.3
1004
50.2
-3.7
Houston
20
497
24.9
413
20.7
910
45.5
-4.2
Oakland
21
449
21.4
333
15.9
782
37.2
-5.5
SanFrancisco
20
454
22.7
343
17.2
797
39.9
-5.6
Average
21
417
19.8
463
21.8
880
41.6
2.0

 

 

 




 

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