“An Analysis of NFL Venues”
rp-excel.com
In an attempt to beat the odds I wanted to see if there were certain venues in the NFL that are more prone to higher scores, or that offer a significant home advantage. There are some surprising results....I further narrowed down the analysis from the last 24 years, to the last 10 years, last 5 years, and finally, last 2 years......
Once again, I don't know the reasons, but certain venues ARE prone to higher scores (perhaps weather related, being a dome, being grass as opposed to turf, etc.) and certain venues do offer a significant home advantage.....
If you have any comments or suggestions, please contact me at:
rp.excel@gmail.com
Legend: PF-AwTm - PointsFor-AwayTeam; Pf-HmTm - PointsFor-HomeTeam; Avg-Average; HmAdv - HomeAdvantage....
Table 1: 1983 - Present (Last 24 Years)
| Venue - @ |
Games |
PF-AwTm |
PFAwTmAvg |
PF-HmTm |
PFHmTmAvg |
TotPts |
AvgPts |
HmAdv |
| SanFrancisco |
219 |
3891 |
17.8 |
5620 |
25.7 |
9511 |
43.4 |
7.9 |
| Denver |
212 |
3902 |
18.4 |
5410 |
25.5 |
9312 |
43.9 |
7.1 |
| KansasCity |
202 |
3512 |
17.4 |
4872 |
24.1 |
8384 |
41.5 |
6.7 |
| Jacksonville |
103 |
1753 |
17.0 |
2331 |
22.6 |
4084 |
39.7 |
5.6 |
| Pittsburgh |
211 |
3625 |
17.2 |
4774 |
22.6 |
8399 |
39.8 |
5.4 |
| Baltimore |
103 |
1764 |
17.1 |
2278 |
22.1 |
4042 |
39.2 |
5.0 |
| Miami |
208 |
3827 |
18.4 |
4848 |
23.3 |
8675 |
41.7 |
4.9 |
| GreenBay |
208 |
3851 |
18.5 |
4848 |
23.3 |
8699 |
41.8 |
4.8 |
| Minnesota |
203 |
3916 |
19.3 |
4870 |
24.0 |
8786 |
43.3 |
4.7 |
| Dallas |
206 |
3892 |
18.9 |
4708 |
22.9 |
8600 |
41.7 |
4.0 |
| Washington |
203 |
3854 |
19.0 |
4643 |
22.9 |
8497 |
41.9 |
3.9 |
| Buffalo |
209 |
3824 |
18.3 |
4630 |
22.2 |
8454 |
40.4 |
3.9 |
| Chicago |
210 |
3586 |
17.1 |
4374 |
20.8 |
7960 |
37.9 |
3.8 |
| Seattle |
203 |
3893 |
19.2 |
4638 |
22.8 |
8531 |
42.0 |
3.7 |
| NewEngland |
207 |
3750 |
18.1 |
4473 |
21.6 |
8223 |
39.7 |
3.5 |
| St.Louis |
144 |
3152 |
21.9 |
3628 |
25.2 |
6780 |
47.1 |
3.3 |
| NYGiants |
209 |
3762 |
18.0 |
4412 |
21.1 |
8174 |
39.1 |
3.1 |
| Oakland |
208 |
3977 |
19.1 |
4600 |
22.1 |
8577 |
41.2 |
3.0 |
| Philadelphia |
209 |
3772 |
18.0 |
4321 |
20.7 |
8093 |
38.7 |
2.6 |
| Tennessee |
73 |
1509 |
20.7 |
1698 |
23.3 |
3207 |
43.9 |
2.6 |
| Indianapolis |
195 |
3987 |
20.4 |
4339 |
22.3 |
8326 |
42.7 |
1.8 |
| Houston |
175 |
3550 |
20.3 |
3798 |
21.7 |
7348 |
42.0 |
1.4 |
| Carolina |
102 |
1962 |
19.2 |
2083 |
20.4 |
4045 |
39.7 |
1.2 |
| NYJets |
201 |
3970 |
19.8 |
4155 |
20.7 |
8125 |
40.4 |
0.9 |
| SanDiego |
202 |
4226 |
20.9 |
4411 |
21.8 |
8637 |
42.8 |
0.9 |
| Detroit |
197 |
4107 |
20.8 |
4275 |
21.7 |
8382 |
42.5 |
0.9 |
| LosAngeles |
97 |
1990 |
20.5 |
2071 |
21.4 |
4061 |
41.9 |
0.8 |
| NewOrleans |
200 |
4095 |
20.5 |
4123 |
20.6 |
8218 |
41.1 |
0.1 |
| TampaBay |
201 |
3895 |
19.4 |
3903 |
19.4 |
7798 |
38.8 |
0.0 |
| Cleveland |
179 |
3420 |
19.1 |
3395 |
19.0 |
6815 |
38.1 |
-0.1 |
| Cincinnati |
199 |
4588 |
23.1 |
4530 |
22.8 |
9118 |
45.8 |
-0.3 |
| Atlanta |
198 |
4394 |
22.2 |
4224 |
21.3 |
8618 |
43.5 |
-0.9 |
| Arizona |
156 |
3261 |
20.9 |
2882 |
18.5 |
6143 |
39.4 |
-2.4 |
Average |
184 |
3537 |
19.2 |
4103 |
22.2 |
7640 |
41.5 |
3.0 |
Table 2: 1997 - Present (Last 10 Years)
| Venue - @ |
Games |
PF-AwTm |
PFAwTmAvg |
PF-HmTm |
PFHmTmAvg |
TotPts |
AvgPts |
HmAdv |
| Denver |
91 |
1659 |
18.2 |
2385 |
26.2 |
4044 |
44.4 |
8.0 |
| KansasCity |
87 |
1631 |
18.7 |
2289 |
26.3 |
3920 |
45.1 |
7.6 |
| NewEngland |
93 |
1555 |
16.7 |
2199 |
23.6 |
3754 |
40.4 |
6.9 |
| Indianapolis |
90 |
1816 |
20.2 |
2426 |
27.0 |
4242 |
47.1 |
6.8 |
| Jacksonville |
87 |
1389 |
16.0 |
1974 |
22.7 |
3363 |
38.7 |
6.7 |
| Baltimore |
87 |
1432 |
16.5 |
1972 |
22.7 |
3404 |
39.1 |
6.2 |
| Minnesota |
88 |
1720 |
19.5 |
2253 |
25.6 |
3973 |
45.1 |
6.1 |
| St.Louis |
89 |
1887 |
21.2 |
2406 |
27.0 |
4293 |
48.2 |
5.8 |
| GreenBay |
90 |
1702 |
18.9 |
2198 |
24.4 |
3900 |
43.3 |
5.5 |
| Pittsburgh |
93 |
1685 |
18.1 |
2194 |
23.6 |
3879 |
41.7 |
5.5 |
| TampaBay |
90 |
1437 |
16.0 |
1902 |
21.1 |
3339 |
37.1 |
5.2 |
| Seattle |
90 |
1786 |
19.8 |
2167 |
24.1 |
3953 |
43.9 |
4.2 |
| Miami |
88 |
1469 |
16.7 |
1788 |
20.3 |
3257 |
37.0 |
3.6 |
| NYJets |
87 |
1595 |
18.3 |
1867 |
21.5 |
3462 |
39.8 |
3.1 |
| Philadelphia |
94 |
1738 |
18.5 |
2031 |
21.6 |
3769 |
40.1 |
3.1 |
| SanFrancisco |
88 |
1790 |
20.3 |
2032 |
23.1 |
3822 |
43.4 |
2.8 |
| Dallas |
85 |
1596 |
18.8 |
1828 |
21.5 |
3424 |
40.3 |
2.7 |
| Tennessee |
73 |
1509 |
20.7 |
1698 |
23.3 |
3207 |
43.9 |
2.6 |
| Oakland |
90 |
1847 |
20.5 |
2033 |
22.6 |
3880 |
43.1 |
2.1 |
| Buffalo |
85 |
1595 |
18.8 |
1760 |
20.7 |
3355 |
39.5 |
1.9 |
| Washington |
86 |
1740 |
20.2 |
1808 |
21.0 |
3548 |
41.3 |
0.8 |
| NYGiants |
90 |
1794 |
19.9 |
1862 |
20.7 |
3656 |
40.6 |
0.8 |
| SanDiego |
87 |
1901 |
21.9 |
1963 |
22.6 |
3864 |
44.4 |
0.7 |
| Chicago |
89 |
1693 |
19.0 |
1744 |
19.6 |
3437 |
38.6 |
0.6 |
| Atlanta |
87 |
1922 |
22.1 |
1948 |
22.4 |
3870 |
44.5 |
0.3 |
| Detroit |
84 |
1749 |
20.8 |
1754 |
20.9 |
3503 |
41.7 |
0.1 |
| Carolina |
85 |
1731 |
20.4 |
1705 |
20.1 |
3436 |
40.4 |
-0.3 |
| NewOrleans |
87 |
1902 |
21.9 |
1770 |
20.3 |
3672 |
42.2 |
-1.5 |
| Houston |
60 |
1302 |
21.7 |
1159 |
19.3 |
2461 |
41.0 |
-2.4 |
| Arizona |
84 |
1797 |
21.4 |
1550 |
18.5 |
3347 |
39.8 |
-2.9 |
| Cincinnati |
85 |
2103 |
24.7 |
1772 |
20.8 |
3875 |
45.6 |
-3.9 |
| Cleveland |
69 |
1456 |
21.1 |
1156 |
16.8 |
2612 |
37.9 |
-4.3 |
| Average |
86 |
1685 |
19.6 |
1925 |
22.2 |
3610 |
41.9 |
2.6 |
Table 3: 2002 - Present (Last 5 Years)
| Venue - @ |
Games |
PF-AwTm |
PFAwTmAvg |
PF-HmTm |
PFHmTmAvg |
TotPts |
AvgPts |
HmAdv |
| Indianapolis |
49 |
914 |
18.7 |
1418 |
28.9 |
2332 |
47.6 |
10.3 |
| KansasCity |
46 |
916 |
19.9 |
1331 |
28.9 |
2247 |
48.8 |
9.0 |
| NewEngland |
50 |
783 |
15.7 |
1232 |
24.6 |
2015 |
40.3 |
9.0 |
| Seattle |
49 |
896 |
18.3 |
1237 |
25.2 |
2133 |
43.5 |
7.0 |
| Baltimore |
46 |
731 |
15.9 |
1048 |
22.8 |
1779 |
38.7 |
6.9 |
| Pittsburgh |
49 |
933 |
19.0 |
1264 |
25.8 |
2197 |
44.8 |
6.8 |
| SanDiego |
47 |
1002 |
21.3 |
1238 |
26.3 |
2240 |
47.7 |
5.0 |
| Philadelphia |
52 |
951 |
18.3 |
1206 |
23.2 |
2157 |
41.5 |
4.9 |
| Denver |
47 |
899 |
19.1 |
1116 |
23.7 |
2015 |
42.9 |
4.6 |
| Jacksonville |
44 |
718 |
16.3 |
918 |
20.9 |
1636 |
37.2 |
4.5 |
| TampaBay |
48 |
797 |
16.6 |
989 |
20.6 |
1786 |
37.2 |
4.0 |
| Minnesota |
44 |
893 |
20.3 |
1058 |
24.0 |
1951 |
44.3 |
3.8 |
| GreenBay |
48 |
944 |
19.7 |
1107 |
23.1 |
2051 |
42.7 |
3.4 |
| St.Louis |
45 |
1013 |
22.5 |
1146 |
25.5 |
2159 |
48.0 |
3.0 |
| NYJets |
46 |
840 |
18.3 |
960 |
20.9 |
1800 |
39.1 |
2.6 |
| Buffalo |
45 |
839 |
18.6 |
954 |
21.2 |
1793 |
39.8 |
2.6 |
| Chicago |
48 |
882 |
18.4 |
994 |
20.7 |
1876 |
39.1 |
2.3 |
| Dallas |
44 |
888 |
20.2 |
953 |
21.7 |
1841 |
41.8 |
1.5 |
| Atlanta |
45 |
956 |
21.2 |
1022 |
22.7 |
1978 |
44.0 |
1.5 |
| Miami |
45 |
843 |
18.7 |
900 |
20.0 |
1743 |
38.7 |
1.3 |
| Tennessee |
46 |
1013 |
22.0 |
1047 |
22.8 |
2060 |
44.8 |
0.7 |
| Washington |
45 |
912 |
20.3 |
921 |
20.5 |
1833 |
40.7 |
0.2 |
| NYGiants |
46 |
924 |
20.1 |
921 |
20.0 |
1845 |
40.1 |
-0.1 |
| Carolina |
45 |
874 |
19.4 |
871 |
19.4 |
1745 |
38.8 |
-0.1 |
| NewOrleans |
46 |
1031 |
22.4 |
995 |
21.6 |
2026 |
44.0 |
-0.8 |
| SanFrancisco |
45 |
1011 |
22.5 |
964 |
21.4 |
1975 |
43.9 |
-1.0 |
| Arizona |
44 |
886 |
20.1 |
826 |
18.8 |
1712 |
38.9 |
-1.4 |
| Oakland |
47 |
1016 |
21.6 |
949 |
20.2 |
1965 |
41.8 |
-1.4 |
| Detroit |
44 |
958 |
21.8 |
891 |
20.3 |
1849 |
42.0 |
-1.5 |
| Cleveland |
45 |
939 |
20.9 |
835 |
18.6 |
1774 |
39.4 |
-2.3 |
| Cincinnati |
45 |
1120 |
24.9 |
1015 |
22.6 |
2135 |
47.4 |
-2.3 |
| Houston |
44 |
1013 |
23.0 |
835 |
19.0 |
1848 |
42.0 |
-4.0 |
| Average |
46 |
917 |
19.9 |
1036 |
22.4 |
1953 |
42.2 |
2.5 |
Table 4: 2005 - Present (Last 2+ years)
| Venue - @ |
Games |
PF-AwTm |
PFAwTmAvg |
PF-HmTm |
PFHmTmAvg |
TotPts |
AvgPts |
HmAdv |
| Indianapolis |
23 |
382 |
16.6 |
642 |
27.9 |
1024 |
44.5 |
11.3 |
| Seattle |
24 |
369 |
15.4 |
611 |
25.5 |
980 |
40.8 |
10.1 |
| SanDiego |
22 |
395 |
18.0 |
615 |
28.0 |
1010 |
45.9 |
10.0 |
| NewEngland |
22 |
358 |
16.3 |
575 |
26.1 |
933 |
42.4 |
9.9 |
| Pittsburgh |
22 |
380 |
17.3 |
591 |
26.9 |
971 |
44.1 |
9.6 |
| Jacksonville |
20 |
273 |
13.7 |
454 |
22.7 |
727 |
36.4 |
9.1 |
| Baltimore |
21 |
276 |
13.1 |
424 |
20.2 |
700 |
33.3 |
7.0 |
| Chicago |
24 |
382 |
15.9 |
549 |
22.9 |
931 |
38.8 |
7.0 |
| KansasCity |
21 |
399 |
19.0 |
504 |
24.0 |
903 |
43.0 |
5.0 |
| Dallas |
20 |
413 |
20.7 |
506 |
25.3 |
919 |
46.0 |
4.7 |
| Washington |
21 |
394 |
18.8 |
485 |
23.1 |
879 |
41.9 |
4.3 |
| Denver |
23 |
431 |
18.7 |
497 |
21.6 |
928 |
40.3 |
2.9 |
| NYGiants |
22 |
434 |
19.7 |
495 |
22.5 |
929 |
42.2 |
2.8 |
| Philadelphia |
21 |
443 |
21.1 |
481 |
22.9 |
924 |
44.0 |
1.8 |
| Minnesota |
20 |
389 |
19.5 |
422 |
21.1 |
811 |
40.6 |
1.7 |
| Buffalo |
21 |
386 |
18.4 |
404 |
19.2 |
790 |
37.6 |
0.9 |
| Detroit |
20 |
410 |
20.5 |
422 |
21.1 |
832 |
41.6 |
0.6 |
| GreenBay |
21 |
404 |
19.2 |
407 |
19.4 |
811 |
38.6 |
0.1 |
| TampaBay |
22 |
401 |
18.2 |
403 |
18.3 |
804 |
36.5 |
0.1 |
| Cincinnati |
21 |
517 |
24.6 |
513 |
24.4 |
1030 |
49.0 |
-0.2 |
| Arizona |
20 |
425 |
21.3 |
409 |
20.5 |
834 |
41.7 |
-0.8 |
| Atlanta |
20 |
453 |
22.7 |
432 |
21.6 |
885 |
44.3 |
-1.1 |
| NYJets |
21 |
433 |
20.6 |
408 |
19.4 |
841 |
40.0 |
-1.2 |
| Carolina |
20 |
399 |
20.0 |
365 |
18.3 |
764 |
38.2 |
-1.7 |
| NewOrleans |
22 |
478 |
21.7 |
431 |
19.6 |
909 |
41.3 |
-2.1 |
| Tennessee |
21 |
488 |
23.2 |
442 |
21.0 |
930 |
44.3 |
-2.2 |
| Miami |
21 |
431 |
20.5 |
385 |
18.3 |
816 |
38.9 |
-2.2 |
| Cleveland |
21 |
462 |
22.0 |
391 |
18.6 |
853 |
40.6 |
-3.4 |
| St.Louis |
20 |
539 |
27.0 |
465 |
23.3 |
1004 |
50.2 |
-3.7 |
| Houston |
20 |
497 |
24.9 |
413 |
20.7 |
910 |
45.5 |
-4.2 |
| Oakland |
21 |
449 |
21.4 |
333 |
15.9 |
782 |
37.2 |
-5.5 |
| SanFrancisco |
20 |
454 |
22.7 |
343 |
17.2 |
797 |
39.9 |
-5.6 |
| Average |
21 |
417 |
19.8 |
463 |
21.8 |
880 |
41.6 |
2.0 |
|